When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

When investors see recession looming the interest rate demand to hold short term debt can rise above that of longer term bonds, the reverse of what is usually the case since holding debt for a ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

When investors anticipate a slowing economy, they often demand higher returns on longer-term bonds, leading to an inverted yield curve. Historically, these inversions have frequently preceded ...

The financial market’s top recession warning, the inverted yield curve, looks ready to end its record stretch of flashing a ...

The curve’s slope historically has foretold the future. A positive tilt is associated with an economy likely to expand, as it ...

That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

SHANGHAI, Jan 14 (Reuters) - Investors are dialling back bets on near-term rate cuts in China, the derivatives market shows, as expectations grow that policymakers will refrain from easing policy ...

An inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been seen as a recession warning sign for decades, and it looks like it’s about to light up again. WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted ...

Yuan interest rate swaps (IRS), which domestic investors use to hedge as well as express their views on rates, have been inverted for nearly four weeks, with front end yields trading above longer ...