YR4: Asteroid 2024 YR4 might spare Earth but it poses a threat to Moon. The asteroid that had a good chance of crashing onto Earth, may well end up colliding with the moon. NASA has calculated Asteroid 2024 YR4's chances of colliding with moon.

NASA has significantly lowered the risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting the Earth in 2032 through recent calculations. The moon however, may not be in the clear.

YR4 is between 40 and 90 meters in diameter, about the size of a large apartment block. The asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December last year, is moving towards Earth. A NASA expert has answered all the questions related to Asteroid 2024 YR4 that has been dominating headlines.

NASA has significantly lowered the risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth. Last week, the asteroid had a 3.1% probability of hitting Earth, which set a record level for large space rocks.

In reality, even as the near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 was moving away, ground-based telescopes were able to gather enough observations to get a better handle on its orbit. So we can safely take a deep breath and return to the more pressing existential problems posed by threats on this planet rather than off-world.

Recently the asteroid 2024 YR4, which is expected to pass Earth in 2032, was calculated to have a 1 in 83 chance of striking our planet. Then a week passed and suddenly there was a new headline: Asteroid 2024 YR4 was now believed to have only a 1 in 43 chance of striking our planet — the highest odds ever recorded for a space rock to hit our planet.

Earth is no longer on a collision course with asteroid 2024 YR4, but it could potentially collide with the Moon.